Traders argue about the dollar in forums all day. MalalphAI collects those opinions, records who said what and when, and turns them into odds on where USD is heading. You season the pot by trusting the authors who've been right.
Live from the threads below
Moving a slider cooks My pot. The Δ in the pot shows the change.
| Chef | Calls | Pull on pot | Hit rate | Weight | Trust USD-up | Trust USD-down |
|---|
live ran on real data · next designed
Nimble extracts the ForexFactory news page and forums, plus the official r/Forex RSS feed with the fast vx6 driver.
Nimble Extract runs each thread in parallel, using the vx10 stealth browser and a 3s wait, and returns markdown.
Nimble Search with include_domains: forexfactory.com found the USD/JPY, USD/CAD and GBP/USD forum threads.
Nimble Crawl with include_paths.
Keep the headline and comments, and drop menus.
Gemini fills a responseSchema: author, comment ID, time, pairs, P(down/side/up) for 5, 22 and 66 days, and a reason.
Each joke, political aside or question it drops comes with a reason.
Gemini embeddings. Within a site, repeats merge into one dish per author per thread.
16 / 68 / 16: a normal curve split at ±1σ.
Each call shifts the log-odds by chef weight × your trust × freshness.
Every number traces back to its source comment.
| vx10 | The stealth browser loads Cloudflare-protected ForexFactory threads. |
| .md | Markdown output keeps author, time and permalink, ready for an LLM. |
| parallel | Threads are fetched concurrently. |
| 1 API | Search, Extract, Crawl and Map: find threads, fetch them, scale out. |
| $1/1K | Extraction is priced per 1,000 URLs (Nimble pricing), so re-shopping hourly is cheap. |
| schema | responseSchema means every opinion arrives with the same fields, with no parsing. |
| judgment | Keeps currency calls and gives a reason for every skip. |
| FX sense | "Sell usd" becomes USD down on all four pairs, and "EUR/USD up" becomes USD down vs EUR. |
| calibrated | Starts from the 16/68/16 baseline and moves only as far as the text justifies. |
| reasons | Every call carries the "why", which the buffet shows under each dish. |
The recipe
log P(k) = log prior(k) + Σᵢ wᵢ · log(qᵢ(k) / prior(k)), wᵢ = chef weight × trust(up|down) × 0.5^(age / half-life)
Half-lives: 2, 7 and 20 days for the 5d, 22d and 66d horizons. Chef weight starts at 0.5, from a Beta(2,2) prior on hit rate, until calls are graded. Forum posts echo each other, so weights in each pot are scaled so their total never exceeds 3 independent voices, and no single post counts as more than one. That keeps a pile-on from looking like certainty.